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U.S. intelligence says Iran can outlast Trump’s blockade of Strait of Hormuz for months

U.S. intelligence says Iran can outlast Trump’s blockade of Strait of Hormuz for months

The Washington Post reports: A confidential CIA analysis delivered to administration policymakers this week concludes that Iran can survive the U.S. naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing more severe economic hardship, four people familiar with the document said, a finding that appears to raise new questions about President Donald Trump’s optimism on ending the war. The analysis by the U.S. intelligence community, whose secret assessments on Iran have often been more sober than the administration’s…

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Trump’s abrupt U-turn on a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz came after backlash from Gulf allies

Trump’s abrupt U-turn on a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz came after backlash from Gulf allies

NBC News reports: President Donald Trump’s abrupt reversal on his plan to help ships go through the Strait of Hormuz came after a key Gulf ally suspended the U.S. military’s ability to use its bases and airspace to carry out the operation, according to two U.S. officials. Trump surprised Gulf allies by announcing “Project Freedom” on social media Sunday afternoon, the officials said, angering leadership in Saudi Arabia. In response, the Kingdom informed the U.S. it would not allow the…

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After SCOTUS destroyed the Voting Rights Act, Southern states rush to pass Jim Crow voting maps

After SCOTUS destroyed the Voting Rights Act, Southern states rush to pass Jim Crow voting maps

Ari Berman reports: Just a week after the Supreme Court effectively destroyed the key remaining provision of the Voting Rights Act, Tennessee on Thursday is set to become the first Southern state to pass a new redistricting map eliminating a majority-Black district. The hastily drawn map abolishes the state’s last Democratic district by splitting the city of Memphis, which is more than 60 percent Black, into three districts: all of them predominantly white Republican held seats that stretch hundreds of…

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Kash Patel’s personalized bourbon stash

Kash Patel’s personalized bourbon stash

Sarah Fitzpatrick writes: One of J. Edgar Hoover’s greatest reforms at the FBI was his embrace of fingerprinting. During the 1930s, visitors to the FBI offices in Washington, D.C., received souvenir fingerprint cards featuring his name. The men who succeeded him as FBI director were more discreet and judicious, mindful of the cult of personality that had developed around Hoover. They generally avoided giving out branded swag. But then came Kash Patel. President Trump’s FBI director has a great deal…

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Trump’s deportation campaign has harmed scores of kids with tear gas, pepper spray

Trump’s deportation campaign has harmed scores of kids with tear gas, pepper spray

By Lisa Song, Maya Miller and Melissa Sanchez, with research reporting by Mariam Elba This story was originally published by ProPublica The children were walking to school in Broadview, Illinois, or leaving a shopping center in Columbus, Ohio. They were at home in Minneapolis, or sitting in a stroller in Chicago, or at an afternoon protest in Portland, Oregon, alongside dogs on leashes and older people pushing walkers. They were mostly going about their days when federal immigration agents shot…

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Inside a MAGA influencer’s sharp turn against the right-wing machine

Inside a MAGA influencer’s sharp turn against the right-wing machine

The Washington Post reports: Few MAGA influencers were as committed to the digital cause as Ashley St. Clair. The 27-year-old former brand ambassador for the late Charlie Kirk’s Turning Point USA published an anti-transgender children’s book, appeared prime-time on Fox News and posted selfies from President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate. On X, where St. Clair has more than 1 million followers, she had become a legend: a young conservative woman fighting back against the perceived liberal excesses of “brain rot”…

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Lessons from the fairness of African fractal societies

Lessons from the fairness of African fractal societies

Likam Kyanzaire writes: Ron Eglash was not looking for a revolution when he stumbled across one. The American ethnomathematician, who tracks mathematics embedded in culture, was studying African settlement patterns in the 1980s when he noticed something strange in aerial photographs and village layouts. The settlements weren’t laid out randomly. They had a pattern – and not just any pattern. The same shape seemed to repeat at every scale: a cluster of homes that echoed the arrangement of a larger…

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Iran has hit far more U.S. military assets than reported, satellite images show

Iran has hit far more U.S. military assets than reported, satellite images show

The Washington Post reports: Iranian airstrikes have damaged or destroyed at least 228 structures or pieces of equipment at U.S. military sites across the Middle East since the war began, hitting hangars, barracks, fuel depots, aircraft and key radar, communications and air defense equipment, according to a Washington Post analysis of satellite imagery. The amount of destruction is far larger than what has been publicly acknowledged by the U.S. government or previously reported. The threat of air attacks rendered some…

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Gulf states fear an emboldened Iran is taking advantage of a hesitant U.S.

Gulf states fear an emboldened Iran is taking advantage of a hesitant U.S.

The Wall Street Journal reports: President Trump chose to look the other way after Iran launched three salvos of missiles and drones into the United Arab Emirates, one of America’s main Middle Eastern partners, despite a cease-fire he negotiated nearly a month ago. The likely conclusion in Tehran, Gulf governments fear, is that further escalation pays off because Trump is so intent on extricating himself from the war that he will ignore renewed Iranian attacks on America’s regional allies. European…

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How fertilizer shortages caused by the energy crisis threaten food security

How fertilizer shortages caused by the energy crisis threaten food security

Meihua Yang et al write: Since March, war in the Middle East has disrupted global fertilizer markets. Urea prices jumped by nearly 46% in a month, as geopolitical and energy shocks hit nitrogen supply chains. The disruptions caused by blocked maritime bottlenecks, including the Strait of Hormuz, limiting tanker movements and flows of oil and liquefied natural gas, underscore the coupled nature of global energy and food systems. As a result of the crisis, the World Food Programme has warned…

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Trolling, memes and deepfakes: How AI is thickening the fog of war

Trolling, memes and deepfakes: How AI is thickening the fog of war

Gretel Kahn reports for Reuters Institute: War has never been fought only on the ground. Clausewitz’s concept of the “fog of war” once described the uncertainty and confusion that cloud battlefield decision-making. Errol Morris’ 2003 documentary made the phrase a shorthand for the moral and informational ambiguities of modern conflict. But in the digital age, where war is also filmed, edited and promoted online, the fog is getting thicker and wars, more difficult to cover. The conflict between the United…

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John Roberts believes in an America that doesn’t exist

John Roberts believes in an America that doesn’t exist

Jamelle Bouie writes: Descriptive representation, as it is known, is not perfect; race alone does not guarantee that a lawmaker will act in the interest of his or her community. But the record suggests that in places where racial polarization is the norm, where the legacy of Jim Crow segregation shapes the political and social landscape, the opportunity provided by a majority-minority district can mean the difference between some representation and none at all. For the Roberts court, however, these…

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FBI investigating leaks to journalist who wrote explosive article on Kash Patel: Sources

FBI investigating leaks to journalist who wrote explosive article on Kash Patel: Sources

MS NOW reports: The FBI has launched a criminal leak investigation focusing on an Atlantic magazine journalist who wrote a deeply unflattering account last month of Director Kash Patel’s work habits, two people familiar with the matter told MS NOW. The sources said the so-called insider threat investigation is highly unusual because it did not stem from a disclosure of classified information and because it is focused on leaks to a reporter. The agents involved are part of an insider…

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Using AI for just ten minutes might make you lazy and dumb, study shows

Using AI for just ten minutes might make you lazy and dumb, study shows

Wired reports: Using AI chatbots for even just for 10 minutes may have a shockingly negative impact on people’s ability to think and problem-solve, according to a new study from researchers at Carnegie Mellon, MIT, Oxford, and UCLA. Researchers tasked people with solving various problems, including simple fractions and reading comprehension, through an online platform that paid them for their work. They conducted three experiments, each involving several hundred people. Some participants were given access to an AI assistant capable…

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