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Category: War

‘No to war’: Prime Minister Sánchez doubles down after Trump threat to cut off trade with Spain

‘No to war’: Prime Minister Sánchez doubles down after Trump threat to cut off trade with Spain

The Guardian reports: The Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, has responded to Donald Trump’s extraordinary threat to cut off all trade with Spain over his government’s refusal to facilitate the US’s attacks against Iran, comparing the growing conflict in the Middle East to playing “Russian roulette with the destiny of millions”. Sánchez, who has been one of the most vociferous European critics of Israel’s conduct in Gaza, said his government’s position on the widening instability could be summed up in…

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How Netanyahu once again demonstrated that ‘America is a thing you can move very easily’

How Netanyahu once again demonstrated that ‘America is a thing you can move very easily’

Axios reports: MAGA’s ascendant “America First” wing erupted after Secretary of State Marco Rubio effectively blamed Israel for drawing the U.S. into war with Iran. Why it matters: Rubio’s remarks were the first time a Trump official had so explicitly acknowledged Israel as a driving force behind the war — landing at a moment when Americans’ public support for Israel has hit historic lows. “We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action” against Iran, Rubio told reporters on Capitol Hill on Monday….

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As the CIA arms Iran’s Kurds for regime change, why is the opposition against them?

As the CIA arms Iran’s Kurds for regime change, why is the opposition against them?

Güney Yıldız writes: The CIA is working to arm Kurdish forces inside Iran. President Trump called Kurdish leaders personally over the weekend — and on Tuesday spoke directly with Mustafa Hijri, president of the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan, whose camps the IRGC had just struck with drones. Benjamin Netanyahu arrived at the White House with Kurdish uprising numbers already mapped. Weapons have reportedly been smuggled into western Iran since last year’s twelve-day war. Israeli strikes are targeting Iranian military…

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Iran’s Islamic Republic is designed for survival

Iran’s Islamic Republic is designed for survival

Ali Hashem writes: The latest Israeli and U.S. war on Iran began with airstrikes on the home and offices of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The premise seemed to be that Khamenei’s sudden elimination would pose a dire threat to the current ruling system. The goal would be to achieve what happened in Libya after Muammar al-Qaddafi or in Syria after Bashar al-Assad, where regimes collapsed as soon as their leaders were no longer in power. In those systems, the state’s…

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The casino-fication of war through Polymarket

The casino-fication of war through Polymarket

Judd Legum, Rebecca Crosby, and Noel Sims report: On February 28, the United States and Israel began major combat operations in Iran. For some, the consequences of this action were fatal. By Monday, the war had claimed the lives of at least six U.S. soldiers, hundreds of people in Iran, and dozens more in neighboring Gulf states. The bombardment of Iran reportedly destroyed a girls’ primary school, killing about 150 people, the vast majority of them students. A spokesman for…

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Trita Parsi: ‘Tehran calculates that the war can only end durably if the cost for the U.S. rises dramatically’

Trita Parsi: ‘Tehran calculates that the war can only end durably if the cost for the U.S. rises dramatically’

Trita Parsi tweets: 1. Tehran is not looking for a ceasefire and has rejected outreach from Trump. The reason is that they believe they committed a mistake by agreeing to the ceasefire in June – it only enabled the US and Israel to restock and remobilize to launch war again. If they agree to a ceasefire now, they will only be attacked again in a few months. 2. For a ceasefire to be acceptable, it appears difficult for Tehran to…

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Oil prices soar amid worries of sustained war in Iran

Oil prices soar amid worries of sustained war in Iran

The Washington Post reports: The widening conflict in Iran is shaking financial and energy markets worldwide as tankers in a key shipping corridor are targeted and oil prices begin to soar, threatening to escalate the affordability crunch facing U.S. voters. Major stock indexes recovered midday after a heavy morning of losses. Around 1:30 p.m. Eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was slightly in the red and effectively flat. The S&P 500 index also was flat. The Nasdaq tipped into…

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The money behind the war against Iran

The money behind the war against Iran

Judd Legum writes: In private calls over the last several weeks, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) reportedly urged President Trump to attack Iran. Iran is a top regional rival of Saudi Arabia, and MBS had become concerned about Iran’s growing military capabilities. The lobbying campaign achieved success on Saturday, when Trump announced he had begun “major combat operations in Iran.” Trump launched a war even though U.S. intelligence assessed that Iran posed no imminent threat to the United…

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The illusion of control: miscalculation and the road to war with Iran

The illusion of control: miscalculation and the road to war with Iran

Mohammad Yaghi writes: War between the United States, Israel, and Iran has now moved from threat to reality. What had been framed as coercive diplomacy backed by calibrated force has crossed into open interstate confrontation. Yet the underlying logic that produced this outcome has not changed. The road to war was not paved by a sober calculation of costs and benefits, but by an illusion of control: the belief that Washington could coerce Iran into submission through threats, deployments, and…

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The unresolved contradictions that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei leaves behind

The unresolved contradictions that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei leaves behind

Mehrzad Boroujerdi writes: The 13th-century Persian poet Saadi once offered a prescient warning: “He who would not practice statecraft with his foe will not be able to maintain his rule.” It is a maxim Ayatollah Ali Khamenei chose not to heed. “The enemy” was among the most frequently invoked terms in the lexicon of Iran’s late supreme leader — most often directed at the United States and, at times, Israel. In the end, those very adversaries brought his 37-year rule…

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Israel’s insatiable appetite for war

Israel’s insatiable appetite for war

Orly Noy writes: The siren shattered the silence of Saturday morning across Israel. Not to urge civilians to rush to shelters, but rather to announce the outbreak of war itself — almost like a triumphant fanfare. After more than a week of nerve-wracking uncertainty, tossed between tense anticipation of a war we were told repeatedly was unavoidable, and faint hopes that diplomacy might yet prevail, it was finally upon us. “You can’t step in the same river twice,” goes the…

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Strait of Hormuz: If the Iran conflict shuts world’s most important oil chokepoint, global economic chaos could follow

Strait of Hormuz: If the Iran conflict shuts world’s most important oil chokepoint, global economic chaos could follow

By Sarah Schiffling, Hanken School of Economics The reported sinking of several Iranian warships by US missiles in the Gulf of Oman serves as a reminder of the maritime aspect of the conflict which began February 28 with a barrage of Israeli and American missiles targeting Iran. Two other vessels, believed to be tankers, have also been reported as having been hit by missiles, of an as yet undetermined source, in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz, underlining the…

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‘Dubai’s nightmare’: Iranian missile and drone strikes shatter calm of Arabian Gulf business hub

‘Dubai’s nightmare’: Iranian missile and drone strikes shatter calm of Arabian Gulf business hub

Middle East Eye reports: Iran unleashed a furious missile and drone assault across the Arabian Gulf on Saturday in response to a surprise US-Israeli attack, but one city in particular appeared to bear the brunt of it: Dubai. The Gulf emirate, one of seven in the UAE, is the region’s good-time capital, where lucrative business deals can be sealed and celebrated. On Saturday, it was engulfed in billowing smoke and flames as missiles and drones rained down on it. The…

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Epic Fury: Death toll from girls’ elementary school bombing in southern Iran reportedly rises to 165

Epic Fury: Death toll from girls’ elementary school bombing in southern Iran reportedly rises to 165

The Guardian reports: The death toll from a missile strike on a girls’ school in southern Iran has risen to 165, according to state media. The IRNA news agency also cited a local prosecutor as saying that 96 people had been wounded in Saturday’s strike in Minab. The strike on school appears to be the worst mass casualty event of the US-Israeli-led bombing campaign on Iran so far. Video and photographs of the aftermath, which have been verified as authentic…

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AI executive Dario Amodei on the red lines Anthropic would not cross

AI executive Dario Amodei on the red lines Anthropic would not cross

  CBS News reports: “It’s about the principle of standing up for what’s right,” said Dario Amodei, CEO of the artificial intelligence firm Anthropic, who has found himself at the center of a new kind of firestorm. What’s wrong, in his view, is why the AI company he co-founded has been banned from the federal government. “It feels very punitive and inappropriate, given the amount that we’ve done for U.S. national security,” he said. Anthropic created Claude, an AI chatbot…

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Push from Saudis and Israel helped move Trump to attack Iran

Push from Saudis and Israel helped move Trump to attack Iran

The Washington Post reports: President Donald Trump launched Saturday’s wide-ranging attack on Iran after a weeks-long lobbying effort by an unusual pair of U.S. allies in the Middle East — Israel and Saudi Arabia — according to four people familiar with the matter, as Israeli and U.S. forces teamed to topple Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei after nearly four decades in power. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman made multiple private phone calls to Trump over the past month advocating…

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