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Category: War

Is Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf the kind of Iranian leader Trump might work with?

Is Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf the kind of Iranian leader Trump might work with?

The Wall Street Journal reports: Iran’s combative Parliament speaker, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, is emerging as an unlikely figure in Washington’s search for a deal to halt a widening Middle East war. Ghalibaf, a former Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps air-force commander and Tehran mayor, has denied any talks with the U.S. are under way. He has taunted President Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and called the U.S.-Israeli air war with Iran a quagmire. He served in the Revolutionary Guard during Iran’s…

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Trita Parsi: Iranians increasingly expect this to be a long war

Trita Parsi: Iranians increasingly expect this to be a long war

  Trita Parsi of the Quincy Institute joins Ryan Grim and Murtaza Hussein to analyze the growing risks of a “lose-lose” war between the U.S. and Iran. As oil prices, sanctions dynamics, and regional tensions shift, the conflict may be creating more problems than it solves for both sides. Axios reports: Iranian officials have told the countries trying to mediate peace talks with the U.S. that they have now been tricked twice by President Trump and “we don’t want to be fooled…

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Trump’s ‘absurdly incoherent’ Iran pleas leave allies befuddled

Trump’s ‘absurdly incoherent’ Iran pleas leave allies befuddled

Politico reports: Donald Trump’s messaging on what he wants from American allies in his war against Iran is so confusing that any effort to help in reopening the Strait of Hormuz remains deadlocked, according to four European government officials. Washington has not made any formal requests for equipment, said the officials, who were granted anonymity to speak freely on the sensitive talks, while allies are also reluctant to send military assets to the region over fears they would be attacked…

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Trump’s war in Iran exposes America’s shift from a global guardian to an arbiter of chaos

Trump’s war in Iran exposes America’s shift from a global guardian to an arbiter of chaos

Eduardo Porter writes: To shield ordinary Indians from the war in Iran, the government in Delhi redirected supplies of liquefied gas to Indian families, for which it is the main cooking fuel, limiting supplies to the plastics industry. The Nepalese government rationed gas and the Philippines trimmed the government workweek to four days. Bangladesh closed universities and rationed fuel. They have been hardest hit by Iran’s closure of the strait of Hormuz. Economies in Asia import over a third of…

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Oil industry confronted with its ‘worst nightmare.’ Trump’s former defense secretary sees few options

Oil industry confronted with its ‘worst nightmare.’ Trump’s former defense secretary sees few options

Politico reports: Global energy leaders have been jolted by the enormity of what the U.S.-Israel war with Iran means for their business — and they’re not liking what they’re seeing. It’s the second time in four years that top White House officials have taken the stage at the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference to plead with producers to ramp up their drilling to cover supply disruptions from war-driven oil and natural gas price shocks. But unlike the coordinated international response…

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Prince Mohammed bin Salman is said to push Trump to continue Iran war in recent calls

Prince Mohammed bin Salman is said to push Trump to continue Iran war in recent calls

The New York Times reports: Saudi Arabia’s de facto leader, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, has been pushing President Trump to continue the war against Iran, arguing that the U.S.-Israeli military campaign presents a “historic opportunity” to remake the Middle East, according to people briefed by American officials on the conversations. In a series of conversations over the last week, Prince Mohammed has conveyed to Mr. Trump that he must press toward the destruction of Iran’s hard-line government, the people familiar…

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Treason: People close to Trump are trading based on national secrets

Treason: People close to Trump are trading based on national secrets

Paul Krugman writes: Over the weekend Donald Trump threatened dire vengeance on Iran unless its government opened the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, a deadline that would expire Monday evening in Washington. Specifically, he announced that the U.S. would begin bombing power plants — plants that supply electricity to Iran’s civilian population — unless the Strait was cleared. But at 7:05 AM Monday Trump called the whole thing off — for five days, he said, but many people are…

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Trader made nearly $1 million on Polymarket with remarkably accurate Iran bets

Trader made nearly $1 million on Polymarket with remarkably accurate Iran bets

CNN reports: A trader made nearly $1 million since 2024 from dozens of well-timed Polymarket bets that correctly predicted US and Israeli military actions against Iran, according to an analysis shared with CNN. The bettor won a staggering 93% of their five-figure wagers about Iran, even though the events they predicted were unannounced military operations. The trader had a pattern of prescient bets, including hours before Israeli strikes in October 2024 during its tit-for-tat conflict with Iran, hours before US…

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TACO: Has Trump chickened out again?

TACO: Has Trump chickened out again?

  Is Donald Trump backing down from a potential strike on Iran – or is this a strategic pivot? In this episode of the Fourcast, we unpack the latest twists in US-Iran tensions as Trump insists talks are “good and productive,” despite Tehran claiming a firm warning forced a retreat. With the Strait of Hormuz at the centre of the crisis and global markets reacting fast, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Meanwhile, Israel says its campaign is far from over,…

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Pete Hegseth is promoting a nihilist cult of death

Pete Hegseth is promoting a nihilist cult of death

Jan-Werner Müller writes: It appears that members of Trump’s cabinet get chosen not despite their endorsements of violence, but because of them. Pete Hegseth was primarily known as a dapper TV host willing to defend war crimes. Markwayne Mullin is apparently still proud of challenging a witness to a fistfight at a Senate hearing; he also refuses to apologize for “understanding” an assault on fellow senator Rand Paul. Never before has an administration so openly glorified outright killing as the…

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For Western oil companies, war in Iran means bigger profits, and risks

For Western oil companies, war in Iran means bigger profits, and risks

The New York Times reports: Western companies that pump and process oil and natural gas are among the biggest beneficiaries of the war with Iran, which has snarled production and shipping of fuels in the Persian Gulf. But even as many of them reap the rewards of much more expensive energy, executives are worried that what comes next could be bad for business. Should the war end — a possibility made real when President Trump said on Monday that the…

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Targeting of energy facilities turned Iran war into worst‑case scenario for Gulf states

Targeting of energy facilities turned Iran war into worst‑case scenario for Gulf states

A view of the liquefied natural gas production at the Ras Laffan facility in Qatar. Stringer/picture alliance via Getty Images By Kristian Coates Ulrichsen, Rice University The U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran took a dangerous turn on March 18, 2026, with tit-for-tat strikes on critical energy infrastructure that amount to the most serious regional escalation since the conflict began. First, an Israeli drone strike targeted facilities at Iran’s Asaluyeh complex, damaging four plants that treat gas from the offshore South…

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U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is a disaster for the environment, analysis shows

U.S.-Israeli war on Iran is a disaster for the environment, analysis shows

The Guardian reports: The US-Israel war on Iran is a disaster for the climate, according to an analysis that finds it is draining the global carbon budget faster than 84 countries combined. As warplanes, drones and missiles kill thousands of people, level infrastructure and turn the Middle East into a gigantic environmental sacrifice zone, the first analysis of the climate cost has found the conflict led to 5m tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions in its first 14 days. The analysis,…

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Trump is already eyeing regime change in Cuba

Trump is already eyeing regime change in Cuba

Vivian Salama and Sarah Fitzpatrick write: A Russian oil tanker is creeping west across the Atlantic, quite possibly toward a confrontation with the United States Navy. The Anatoly Kolodkin is carrying tens of thousands of tons of crude oil apparently meant for Cuba, which is battling a fuel shortage. But it may not reach its destination: The U.S. Navy is policing the Caribbean to choke off Havana’s oil supply. The Trump administration is squeezing Cuba to a breaking point—and is…

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I predicted the 2008 financial crisis. What is coming may be worse

I predicted the 2008 financial crisis. What is coming may be worse

Richard Bookstaber writes: At the start of the 2008 financial crisis, I was at a hedge fund. By its end, I was at the U.S. Treasury. At both, I worked with people only a few years out of college. The drama of 2008 was all they knew about financial markets. “Remember what’s happening,” I told them. “You’ll never see anything like this again.” Now I’m not so sure. Maybe they’ll see worse. We have returned to a period of risk,…

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Iran’s willingness and ability to escalate this high-stakes war is its greatest weapon

Iran’s willingness and ability to escalate this high-stakes war is its greatest weapon

Patrick Wintour writes: Brinkmanship, the ability to take a country to the edge of war without plunging it into the abyss, was the cornerstone of cold war diplomacy. But in our different, more unstable times – in which the line between state and non-state actors has blurred, and weapons of war have diffused – the world this week finally tipped over the edge, and suddenly it is in freefall. The first six days of the Iran war cost the US…

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